Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.030515 0.032935 0.035470 0.038325 0.041458 0.044793 0.048619
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.026625 0.030089 0.033919 0.038484 0.043795 0.049802 0.057142
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.023564 0.027548 0.032133 0.037833 0.044772 0.052996 0.063563
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.021444 0.025758 0.030890 0.037492 0.045834 0.056119 0.069908
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.019741 0.024259 0.029780 0.037096 0.046640 0.058816 0.075762
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.018132 0.022715 0.028448 0.036236 0.046683 0.060413 0.080164
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.017269 0.022034 0.028128 0.036611 0.048299 0.064116 0.087625
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.016356 0.021210 0.027543 0.036550 0.049266 0.066936 0.094001
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.015740 0.020731 0.027367 0.037005 0.050936 0.070806 0.102158
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.014908 0.019901 0.026650 0.036634 0.051367 0.072872 0.107719
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.014225 0.019233 0.026109 0.036461 0.052047 0.075310 0.113999
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.013567 0.018562 0.025520 0.036169 0.052505 0.077408 0.119859
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.013081 0.018115 0.025234 0.036315 0.053649 0.080666 0.127937
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.012447 0.017423 0.024553 0.035819 0.053754 0.082267 0.133349
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.011795 0.016672 0.023745 0.035076 0.053406 0.083089 0.137450
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.011298 0.016127 0.023216 0.034731 0.053666 0.084911 0.143447
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.010831 0.015604 0.022693 0.034361 0.053852 0.086600 0.149314
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.010294 0.014951 0.021938 0.033574 0.053281 0.086930 0.152648
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.010061 0.014754 0.021880 0.033916 0.054641 0.090722 0.162890
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.009750 0.014423 0.021595 0.033860 0.055301 0.093293 0.170963
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.009563 0.014275 0.021592 0.034275 0.056806 0.097497 0.182681
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.009224 0.013873 0.021162 0.033936 0.056935 0.099136 0.189262
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 0.008942 0.013552 0.020847 0.033778 0.057378 0.101390 0.197328